Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000633 0.000727 0.000826 0.000939 0.001064 0.001197 0.001349
2025-04-27 0.000493 0.000623 0.000771 0.000951 0.001162 0.001401 0.001688
2025-05-04 0.000407 0.000551 0.000722 0.000940 0.001207 0.001518 0.001907
2025-05-11 0.000338 0.000487 0.000673 0.000919 0.001230 0.001606 0.002087
2025-05-18 0.000298 0.000453 0.000656 0.000932 0.001291 0.001734 0.002316
2025-05-25 0.000263 0.000422 0.000636 0.000937 0.001339 0.001846 0.002525
2025-06-01 0.000221 0.000376 0.000592 0.000905 0.001334 0.001889 0.002645
2025-06-08 0.000188 0.000336 0.000552 0.000875 0.001329 0.001928 0.002758
2025-06-15 0.000166 0.000313 0.000534 0.000873 0.001359 0.002013 0.002932
2025-06-22 0.000149 0.000294 0.000519 0.000872 0.001391 0.002099 0.003109
2025-06-29 0.000131 0.000272 0.000499 0.000863 0.001409 0.002165 0.003260
2025-07-06 0.000115 0.000251 0.000476 0.000848 0.001417 0.002217 0.003391
2025-07-13 0.000107 0.000244 0.000477 0.000871 0.001480 0.002350 0.003637
2025-07-20 0.000098 0.000235 0.000474 0.000885 0.001532 0.002467 0.003865
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000218 0.000456 0.000874 0.001545 0.002527 0.004013
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000200 0.000433 0.000854 0.001542 0.002564 0.004128
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000193 0.000430 0.000866 0.001589 0.002674 0.004350
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000184 0.000423 0.000871 0.001624 0.002768 0.004550
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000166 0.000396 0.000841 0.001602 0.002774 0.004620
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000150 0.000372 0.000812 0.001581 0.002780 0.004690
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000141 0.000363 0.000810 0.001602 0.002852 0.004859
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000134 0.000355 0.000810 0.001627 0.002929 0.005036
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000125 0.000343 0.000801 0.001637 0.002982 0.005178